SHE WON'T GO!
Unsurprisingly, Dr. Dan’s stable of lunatics are foaming at the mouth over their internal polling that puts him up big over Jack Conway. I can let Jack Conway’s people speak for themselves, and Jake has already put his finger on how faulty Dr. Dan’s logic really is. So I won’t rehash how easy it is for a bunch of whackjob amateur politicos who live in their in-laws’ basement to blow a shitty poll out of proportion.
Instead, I’ll refer you to the historic evidence (and the other historic evidence)…like, oh, say, how Barack Obama was trailing Hillary Clinton by 15 points in Iowa just 10 months before the caucus that he won by 9 points, where Hillary posted third behind Mr. President and John Edwards. Or perhaps how Obama was polling 10 points behind Hillary in Oregon, with just 21% support, and ended up scoring 58% of the vote when that primary actually rolled around a year later? Shit, Obama was trailing Hillary by 31 points a year before the Alabama primary that he WON by 14 points.
Point (no pun intended) being, internal polls being done a year in advance, with likely bias in presentation, isn’t good practice, no matter which way you look at it. But if you want some good historical precedent for why polling doesn’t matter right now, you don’t have to look past the Oval Office to see it. If we’re going to get all psyched about a bullshit poll, why not just run a straw poll on B&P and demonstrate clear bias in both questions, intended audience and sample size and then try to pass it off as legitimate! Oh, wait…someone else already did that. Three times.
THE DAILY YONDER
