campaign ads

Williams-Farmer Ad on the Right Track

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July 19, 2011
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The Williams-Farmer campaign has gone on the air with its first ad of the general election and boy is it puppies and rainbows. Brings a tear to my eye actually (yeah right).

Positive character ads are what Williams’ needs, based on an analysis of June polling data from cn2.

In short, a solid majority of people like Steve Beshear (68% net favorable vs. 25 % net unfavorable AND 65 % approve of the job he’s doing despite the terrible economy) while Williams is less liked (41 % favorable vs. 31 % unfavorable). But Williams also has more room to convince those who are unsure (29 % of those polled).

Based on this, Williams needs to concentrate on getting people to know and like him (dispel the Bully from Burkesville moniker) rather than focusing solely on attacking Gov. Beshear.

Of course, with the help of outside groups like RPK, he can do both (take a look at this vintage RPK garbage). They must tread carefully, however, because a 65 % approval rating in a down economy is going to be hard to chip away at and too much negativity will turn voters off and reaffirm the Bully persona.

RGA dips their toe into Kentucky with new David Williams ad

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July 11, 2011
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Via cn|2, here’s the new ad for David Williams on the air in Kentucky from the RGA front group “Bluegrass Prosperity“:

As you can see, Kentucky and the little coal hopper are headed in the wrong direction. However, that is not due to the national recession, Wall Street, or the long era of David Williams’ leadership in the state senate. See, look at this graph on their website, and it’s clear that this is all due to Steve Beshear and nothing else (nor does the gradual decline in unemployment over the last two years bear any resemblance to the trajectory of the coal hopper in the ad).

And taxes have increased, though contrary to what Phil Moffett and the tea partiers had to say in the primary, David Williams had no hand in this either. I assume this and the “decline” of the coal industry is due to Steve Beshear, because political ads funded by shadowy figures in this era of American politics would never lie to us.

cn|2 reports that they’re only spending $24,000 on the ads, which seems kind of tiny if that’s all it is. Just testing the waters, or a sign of more Forcht money to come? Let’s hope that they continue to say that Steve Beshear is an enemy of the coal industry, because that would just be too hilarious.

Your morning Michele Bachmann update

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July 7, 2011
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Michele Bachmann is already on the air in Iowa, releasing this ad today that tries very hard to make her look non-crazy:

Iowa Republicans who’ve been paying attention know better, and they love her for it.

And here’s more evidence that Bachmann can catch up to Romney and make this a race, from the Voice of Republicans:

“I swear every time Mitt Romney opens his mouth I think he’s running against me.”

– Rush Limbaugh, speaking on his talk radio show, criticizing Republican presidential frontrunner Mitt Romney for “running against the Tea Party.”

This can happen.

Gatewood outsourcing his TV ads to you

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July 1, 2011
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Independent KY gubernatorial candidate Gatewood Galbraith is making a call for people to submit ads for his campaign. So if you’re into Team Gatewood and want to make a hundred bucks or so, follow that link.

You probably can’t do any worse than his 2007 ad. Though you should totally ask for that cardboard cut out to see if you can use that again. And get Dea a cowboy hat.

NRCC launches 3-week TV ad buy against Ben Chandler

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June 23, 2011
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cn|2 reports that the 17-month campaign against Ben Chandler has officially begun, as they’ve purchased 3 weeks of air time in Central Kentucky for this attack ad, featuring a healthy dose of Obama Fear:

Meanwhile, this Bloomberg poll out today shows why the NRCC is wasting their money here for the pro-ending-Medicare candidate Andy Barr:

By a margin of 57 percent to 34 percent, poll respondents say they would be worse off if Ryan’s plan to convert Medicare to a system of subsidized private health coverage were adopted. Fifty-eight percent of independents, a critical voting bloc in recent elections, say they would be worse off.

That’s likely to encourage Democrats to bank their success in next year’s presidential and congressional races on tying Republicans to the Medicare plan, which was passed by the Republican-controlled House on April 15.

You think?

Also, when your plan is to end a program, and then replace it with something completely different that doesn’t resemble what the program was in any way? The word “convert” is not accurate. Make no mistake, the Ryan plan ends Medicare. You can call it whatever you like, but for folks currently 55 or younger Medicare would most definitely cease to exist, no matter what you choose to call it.

The craziest political ad of 2011 (so far)

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June 22, 2011
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Unfortunately it’s not from Kentucky (yet). For the 2011 prize so far we have to go out west to Nevada, where GOP Congressional candidate Mark Amodei assures us that if he is elected, he will prevent Chinese troops from high stepping if front of the US Capitol Building:

Don’t get me wrong, the beat poetry beauty of Jon Huntsman below is very impressive, but our new Chinese Overlords win the prize easily.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Beshear campaign says they’ve raised $1.5 million since primary

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June 20, 2011
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On the heels of David Williams’ campaign announcing a $700,000 fundraiser late last week, the Beshear campaign announced this morning that they’ve been raising a boatload of money, too:

“Today the Beshear-Abramson filed its 30-day post primary campaign finance report. In addition to this required filing, the details of which are attached, I am pleased to announce that the campaign has raised over $1.5 million since the primary for the general election. Kentuckians from every corner of the Commonwealth have shown support for Governor Beshear’s efforts to create the smallest state government in a generation, fight broad-based tax increases and create and save jobs around the state.”

From late-August to November, your television sets will transmit nothing but a non-stop barrage of attack ads from both sides. Brace for it.

The campaign reported $2.9 million in disbursements since the pre-15 filing, with about $500k cash on hand (not counting the $1.5 million they just raised). $2.25 million of that was transferred over to their general account, and $570,000 was spent on their three-week “happy ad” TV campaign buy.

"I’m an American, not a bump in the road"

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June 13, 2011
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OK, Mittens…

Of course, we shouldn’t pay attention to context…

…nor inconvenient truths.

(h/t Queen Rachel)

Andy Barr releases first campaign ad

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June 9, 2011
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Andy Barr is running for Congress agains in the KY 6th because it’s his duty to take on politicians like Ben Chandler and Barack Obama who are “threatening our freedom” and “crushing the gift” of Liberty. Also, a baby and stock footage of a whiffleball game:

Also, we’re sad to report that this morning Andy Barr deleted his Godzilla ad that we love so much and won the Rootie last year. (he thinks we didn’t save it!)

Adam Edelen on the road

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June 9, 2011
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Despite the fact that Adam Edelen is an overwhelming favorite this Fall in the KY State Auditor race against Republican John Kemper III, he’s still traveling Kentucky like a mad man. Here’s a video his campaign released today, where he visits the folks tucked away in the Kentucky Bend:

Good stuff. Something odd about that voice, though…

But that doesn’t mean Kemper isn’t working hard either. Here he was last week at the Bluegrass Freedom Festival, a giant $15 ticket event at LCA with all the important Republican activists in the state, even the rockstar Ken Blackwell from Ohio.

Kemper is the guy in the very top right sitting next to Candy Barr. I know, there were soooo many people there that it would have taken years to find him on your own.

I leave you with pictures of David Williams silently cursing the fact that he wasted his time on a teabagger event with 40 people for 3 hours:

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